ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
BASEMENT BOYS#96 in the world · loss 14:16series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 14:16
Voca#67 in the world · win 16:14The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBASEMENT BOYS ban
48%63%
BASEMENT BOYS · 17 mapsedge Voca +15%Voca · 12 maps
NukeVoca ban
62%40%
BASEMENT BOYS · 17 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +22%Voca · 6 maps
Dust2BASEMENT BOYS ban
53%85%
BASEMENT BOYS · 13 mapsedge Voca +32%Voca · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
60%80%
BASEMENT BOYS · 16 mapsedge Voca +20%Voca · 6 maps
CacheVoca ban
54%33%
BASEMENT BOYS · 9 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +21%Voca · 8 maps
AnubisBASEMENT BOYS ban
56%50%
BASEMENT BOYS · 5 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +6%Voca · 4 maps
DefaultVoca ban
50%50%
BASEMENT BOYS · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Voca · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Anubis
2. BanVoca remove Default
3. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Dust2
4. BanVoca remove Cache
5. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Ancient
6. BanVoca remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (60% / 80%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct14:16
BASEMENT BOYS 35%Voca 65%
The model gave 65% on Voca — the map was taken by Voca.
Model check result
Model favoriteVoca · 58%
Series resultVoca 14:16
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1