PGL Bucharest 2027 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
BBL#48 in the world · win 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EYEBALLERS#52 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeEYEBALLERS ban
53%43%
BBL · 15 mapsedge BBL +10%EYEBALLERS · 3 maps
MirageBBL ban
40%40%
BBL · 11 mapsnearly even +0%EYEBALLERS · 6 maps
Ancientpossible decider
58%50%
BBL · 8 mapsedge BBL +8%EYEBALLERS · 8 maps
InfernoBBL pick
57%38%
BBL · 10 mapsedge BBL +19%EYEBALLERS · 4 maps
CacheEYEBALLERS ban
29%29%
BBL · 10 mapsnearly even +0%EYEBALLERS · 3 maps
AnubisEYEBALLERS pick
40%60%
BBL · 1 mapedge EYEBALLERS +20%EYEBALLERS · 6 maps
Dust2BBL ban
50%38%
BBL · 0 mapsedge BBL +12%EYEBALLERS · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBBL remove Dust2
2. BanEYEBALLERS remove Nuke
3. PickBBL take Inferno
4. PickEYEBALLERS take Anubis
5. BanEYEBALLERS remove Cache
6. BanBBL remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (58% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed19:17
BBL 28%EYEBALLERS 72%
The model gave 72% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by BBL.
Cacheprediction correct13:7
BBL 53%EYEBALLERS 47%
The model gave 53% on BBL — the map was taken by BBL.
Model check result
Model favoriteBBL · 60%
Series resultBBL 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2