Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
pre-match prediction
BBL#62 in the worldseries probability
35%65%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
HOTU#27 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheHOTU pick
50%60%
BBL · 2 mapsedge HOTU +10%HOTU · 21 map
Dust2BBL ban
50%67%
BBL · 0 mapsedge HOTU +17%HOTU · 20 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%61%
BBL · 2 mapsedge HOTU +11%HOTU · 14 maps
NukeBBL pick
44%67%
BBL · 5 mapsedge HOTU +23%HOTU · 11 maps
MirageHOTU ban
50%63%
BBL · 2 mapsedge HOTU +13%HOTU · 12 maps
AnubisBBL ban
50%75%
BBL · 0 mapsedge HOTU +25%HOTU · 12 maps
InfernoHOTU ban
56%40%
BBL · 5 mapsedge BBL +16%HOTU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBBL remove Dust2
2. BanHOTU remove Inferno
3. PickBBL take Nuke
4. PickHOTU take Cache
5. BanHOTU remove Mirage
6. BanBBL remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (50% / 61%)