CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
DONSTU#203 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bebop pick
39%40%
Bebop · 19 mapsnearly even -1%DONSTU · 6 maps
NukeDONSTU ban
47%22%
Bebop · 13 mapsedge Bebop +25%DONSTU · 5 maps
AnubisBebop ban
36%36%
Bebop · 7 mapsnearly even +0%DONSTU · 7 maps
CacheDONSTU pick
44%27%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge Bebop +17%DONSTU · 7 maps
MirageDONSTU ban
27%40%
Bebop · 11 mapsedge DONSTU +13%DONSTU · 1 map
InfernoBebop ban
36%50%
Bebop · 7 mapsedge DONSTU +14%DONSTU · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
56%60%
Bebop · 5 mapsnearly even -4%DONSTU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBebop remove Anubis
2. BanDONSTU remove Mirage
3. PickBebop take Dust2
4. PickDONSTU take Cache
5. BanDONSTU remove Nuke
6. BanBebop remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (56% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct2:13
Bebop 47%DONSTU 53%
The model gave 53% on DONSTU — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Nukeprediction missed2:13
Bebop 78%DONSTU 22%
The model gave 78% on Bebop — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Model check result
Model favoriteBebop · 59%
Series resultDONSTU 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2