Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Falcons Force#152 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBebop pick
53%55%
Bebop · 13 mapsnearly even -2%Falcons Force · 7 maps
Dust2Falcons Force ban
77%30%
Bebop · 9 mapsedge Bebop +47%Falcons Force · 6 maps
Nukepossible decider
36%22%
Bebop · 7 mapsedge Bebop +14%Falcons Force · 5 maps
AncientBebop ban
29%36%
Bebop · 3 mapsedge Falcons Force +7%Falcons Force · 7 maps
DefaultFalcons Force pick
33%50%
Bebop · 8 mapsedge Falcons Force +17%Falcons Force · 0 maps
AnubisBebop ban
38%40%
Bebop · 4 mapsnearly even -2%Falcons Force · 1 map
InfernoFalcons Force ban
71%50%
Bebop · 3 mapsedge Bebop +21%Falcons Force · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBebop remove Ancient
2. BanFalcons Force remove Inferno
3. PickBebop take Mirage
4. PickFalcons Force take Default
5. BanFalcons Force remove Dust2
6. BanBebop remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (36% / 22%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:3
Bebop 90%Falcons Force 10%
The model gave 90% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Cacheprediction correct6:13
Bebop 47%Falcons Force 53%
The model gave 53% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by Falcons Force.
Infernoprediction missed5:13
Bebop 71%Falcons Force 29%
The model gave 71% on Bebop — the map was taken by Falcons Force.
Model check result
Model favoriteBebop · 56%
Series resultFalcons Force 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3