CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBebop ban
40%33%
Bebop · 1 mapedge Bebop +7%Just Players · 2 maps
Dust2Just Players ban
60%40%
Bebop · 1 mapedge Bebop +20%Just Players · 1 map
MirageBebop pick
60%40%
Bebop · 1 mapedge Bebop +20%Just Players · 1 map
DefaultJust Players pick
40%50%
Bebop · 1 mapedge Just Players +10%Just Players · 0 maps
InfernoJust Players ban
40%50%
Bebop · 1 mapedge Just Players +10%Just Players · 0 maps
OverpassBebop ban
50%60%
Bebop · 0 mapsedge Just Players +10%Just Players · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBebop remove Overpass
2. BanJust Players remove Inferno
3. PickBebop take Mirage
4. PickJust Players take Default
5. BanJust Players remove Dust2
6. BanBebop remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Bebop 40%Just Players 60%
The model gave 60% on Just Players — the map was taken by Bebop.
Model check result
Model favoriteBebop · 70%
Series resultBebop 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1