CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Noir Verse#148 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bebop pick
56%48%
Bebop · 14 mapsedge Bebop +8%Noir Verse · 17 maps
MirageNoir Verse pick
33%58%
Bebop · 11 mapsedge Noir Verse +25%Noir Verse · 15 maps
NukeNoir Verse ban
47%47%
Bebop · 11 mapsnearly even +0%Noir Verse · 11 maps
CacheBebop ban
44%50%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge Noir Verse +6%Noir Verse · 12 maps
AnubisBebop ban
25%47%
Bebop · 4 mapsedge Noir Verse +22%Noir Verse · 11 maps
AncientNoir Verse ban
50%40%
Bebop · 0 mapsedge Bebop +10%Noir Verse · 11 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%36%
Bebop · 4 mapsedge Bebop +14%Noir Verse · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBebop remove Anubis
2. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
3. PickBebop take Dust2
4. PickNoir Verse take Mirage
5. BanNoir Verse remove Ancient
6. BanBebop remove Cache
DeciderDefault (50% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct16:13
Bebop 61%Noir Verse 39%
The model gave 61% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Mirageprediction correct3:13
Bebop 24%Noir Verse 76%
The model gave 76% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Anubisprediction missed13:11
Bebop 28%Noir Verse 72%
The model gave 72% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Bebop.
Model check result
Model favoriteBebop · 52%
Series resultBebop 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3