CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Oxuji#173 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
78%44%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge Bebop +34%Oxuji · 14 maps
NukeOxuji pick
29%61%
Bebop · 3 mapsedge Oxuji +32%Oxuji · 14 maps
MirageBebop pick
58%60%
Bebop · 8 mapsnearly even -2%Oxuji · 6 maps
AncientBebop ban
29%67%
Bebop · 3 mapsedge Oxuji +38%Oxuji · 8 maps
InfernoOxuji ban
57%33%
Bebop · 3 mapsedge Bebop +24%Oxuji · 8 maps
DefaultBebop ban
30%75%
Bebop · 6 mapsedge Oxuji +45%Oxuji · 4 maps
AnubisOxuji ban
50%43%
Bebop · 2 mapsedge Bebop +7%Oxuji · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBebop remove Ancient
2. BanOxuji remove Anubis
3. PickBebop take Mirage
4. PickOxuji take Nuke
5. BanOxuji remove Inferno
6. BanBebop remove Default
DeciderDust2 (78% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct5:13
Bebop 18%Oxuji 82%
The model gave 82% on Oxuji — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
Bebop 51%Oxuji 49%
The model gave 51% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Overpassprediction correct13:9
Bebop 50%Oxuji 50%
The model gave 50% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Model check result
Model favoriteOxuji · 76%
Series resultBebop 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3