CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
benched gods#162 in the world · win 2:0series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Misa#115 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
43%58%
benched gods · 3 mapsedge Misa +15%Misa · 20 maps
Anubisbenched gods pick
57%50%
benched gods · 3 mapsedge benched gods +7%Misa · 10 maps
MirageMisa ban
50%41%
benched gods · 0 mapsedge benched gods +9%Misa · 13 maps
Nukebenched gods ban
60%43%
benched gods · 1 mapedge benched gods +17%Misa · 10 maps
Infernobenched gods ban
60%45%
benched gods · 1 mapedge benched gods +15%Misa · 7 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%50%
benched gods · 1 mapedge benched gods +10%Misa · 4 maps
OverpassMisa ban
40%33%
benched gods · 1 mapedge benched gods +7%Misa · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banbenched gods remove Nuke
2. BanMisa remove Mirage
3. Pickbenched gods take Anubis
4. PickMisa take Dust2
5. BanMisa remove Overpass
6. Banbenched gods remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:3
benched gods 53%Misa 47%
The model gave 53% on benched gods — the map was taken by benched gods.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
benched gods 32%Misa 68%
The model gave 68% on Misa — the map was taken by benched gods.
Model check result
Model favoriteMisa · 62%
Series resultbenched gods 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2