CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
benched gods#162 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSpirit Academy pick
47%79%
benched gods · 11 mapsedge Spirit Academy +32%Spirit Academy · 10 maps
Dust2benched gods ban
45%44%
benched gods · 7 mapsnearly even +1%Spirit Academy · 12 maps
Cachebenched gods pick
67%50%
benched gods · 11 mapsedge benched gods +17%Spirit Academy · 6 maps
Anubispossible decider
43%71%
benched gods · 10 mapsedge Spirit Academy +28%Spirit Academy · 3 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
40%50%
benched gods · 6 mapsedge Spirit Academy +10%Spirit Academy · 4 maps
Nukebenched gods ban
50%33%
benched gods · 0 mapsedge benched gods +17%Spirit Academy · 8 maps
DefaultSpirit Academy ban
82%50%
benched gods · 7 mapsedge benched gods +32%Spirit Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banbenched gods remove Nuke
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Default
3. Pickbenched gods take Cache
4. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
6. Banbenched gods remove Dust2
DeciderAnubis (43% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
benched gods 17%Spirit Academy 83%
The model gave 83% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by benched gods.
Cacheprediction missed9:13
benched gods 69%Spirit Academy 31%
The model gave 69% on benched gods — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Mirageprediction correct10:13
benched gods 40%Spirit Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 53%
Series resultSpirit Academy 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3