?
CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
BERG#192 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HAVU#107 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeHAVU pick
50%80%
BERG · 4 mapsedge HAVU +30%HAVU · 6 maps
MirageBERG pick
57%33%
BERG · 3 mapsedge BERG +24%HAVU · 5 maps
Dust2BERG ban
50%44%
BERG · 0 mapsedge BERG +6%HAVU · 5 maps
Anubispossible decider
43%40%
BERG · 3 mapsnearly even +3%HAVU · 1 map
InfernoHAVU ban
60%43%
BERG · 1 mapedge BERG +17%HAVU · 3 maps
AncientHAVU ban
50%40%
BERG · 2 mapsedge BERG +10%HAVU · 1 map
OverpassBERG ban
40%33%
BERG · 1 mapedge BERG +7%HAVU · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBERG remove Dust2
2. BanHAVU remove Ancient
3. PickBERG take Mirage
4. PickHAVU take Nuke
5. BanHAVU remove Inferno
6. BanBERG remove Overpass
DeciderAnubis (43% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed6:13
BERG 70%HAVU 30%
The model gave 70% on BERG — the map was taken by HAVU.
Ancientprediction missed11:13
BERG 63%HAVU 37%
The model gave 63% on BERG — the map was taken by HAVU.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU · 51%
Series resultHAVU 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2