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ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · BO3
pre-match prediction
BERG#210 in the world
series probability
43%57%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
NEXORA
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
36%33%
BERG · 10 mapsnearly even +3%NEXORA · 2 maps
MirageNEXORA pick
42%57%
BERG · 8 mapsedge NEXORA +15%NEXORA · 3 maps
AncientBERG pick
46%40%
BERG · 9 mapsedge BERG +6%NEXORA · 1 map
InfernoNEXORA ban
44%50%
BERG · 5 mapsedge NEXORA +6%NEXORA · 0 maps
AnubisBERG ban
38%50%
BERG · 4 mapsedge NEXORA +12%NEXORA · 0 maps
Dust2BERG ban
50%67%
BERG · 0 mapsedge NEXORA +17%NEXORA · 2 maps
DefaultNEXORA ban
60%50%
BERG · 1 mapedge BERG +10%NEXORA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBERG remove Dust2
2. BanNEXORA remove Inferno
3. PickBERG take Ancient
4. PickNEXORA take Mirage
5. BanNEXORA remove Default
6. BanBERG remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (36% / 33%)