CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA Academy#172 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vasco#232 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Vasco pick
40%43%
BESTIA Academy · 1 mapnearly even -3%Vasco · 3 maps
MirageBESTIA Academy ban
40%57%
BESTIA Academy · 1 mapedge Vasco +17%Vasco · 3 maps
AncientBESTIA Academy pick
60%60%
BESTIA Academy · 1 mapnearly even +0%Vasco · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
40%60%
BESTIA Academy · 1 mapedge Vasco +20%Vasco · 1 map
AnubisBESTIA Academy ban
50%40%
BESTIA Academy · 0 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +10%Vasco · 1 map
NukeVasco ban
60%50%
BESTIA Academy · 1 mapedge BESTIA Academy +10%Vasco · 0 maps
OverpassVasco ban
50%40%
BESTIA Academy · 0 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +10%Vasco · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA Academy remove Anubis
2. BanVasco remove Nuke
3. PickBESTIA Academy take Ancient
4. PickVasco take Dust2
5. BanVasco remove Overpass
6. BanBESTIA Academy remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (40% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct9:13
BESTIA Academy 28%Vasco 72%
The model gave 72% on Vasco — the map was taken by Vasco.
Ancientprediction missed14:16
BESTIA Academy 53%Vasco 47%
The model gave 53% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by Vasco.
Model check result
Model favoriteVasco · 57%
Series resultVasco 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2