BetBoom Circuit X Base Recife 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA#65 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Galorys#68 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGalorys ban
60%58%
BESTIA · 1 mapnearly even +2%Galorys · 8 maps
Dust2Galorys ban
60%58%
BESTIA · 1 mapnearly even +2%Galorys · 8 maps
NukeBESTIA pick
50%42%
BESTIA · 0 mapsedge BESTIA +8%Galorys · 8 maps
OverpassGalorys pick
50%50%
BESTIA · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Galorys · 8 maps
MirageBESTIA ban
50%67%
BESTIA · 0 mapsedge Galorys +17%Galorys · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA remove Mirage
2. BanGalorys remove Dust2
3. PickBESTIA take Nuke
4. PickGalorys take Overpass
5. BanGalorys remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
BESTIA 55%Galorys 45%
The model gave 55% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Overpassprediction correct8:13
BESTIA 47%Galorys 53%
The model gave 53% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Nukeprediction missed10:13
BESTIA 58%Galorys 42%
The model gave 58% on BESTIA — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA · 64%
Series resultGalorys 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3