Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA#65 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
73%62%
BESTIA · 7 mapsedge BESTIA +11%Imperial · 9 maps
MirageImperial ban
71%53%
BESTIA · 3 mapsedge BESTIA +18%Imperial · 11 maps
InfernoImperial pick
50%71%
BESTIA · 2 mapsedge Imperial +21%Imperial · 10 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%67%
BESTIA · 4 mapsedge Imperial +17%Imperial · 5 maps
AnubisBESTIA ban
50%60%
BESTIA · 0 mapsedge Imperial +10%Imperial · 6 maps
AncientImperial ban
57%50%
BESTIA · 3 mapsedge BESTIA +7%Imperial · 0 maps
CacheBESTIA ban
50%60%
BESTIA · 2 mapsedge Imperial +10%Imperial · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA remove Anubis
2. BanImperial remove Ancient
3. PickBESTIA take Dust2
4. PickImperial take Inferno
5. BanImperial remove Mirage
6. BanBESTIA remove Cache
DeciderNuke (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
BESTIA 65%Imperial 35%
The model gave 65% on BESTIA — the map was taken by Imperial.
Infernoprediction correct6:13
BESTIA 26%Imperial 74%
The model gave 74% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA · 62%
Series resultImperial 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2