BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA#65 in the world · win 2:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Isurus#186 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
70%67%
BESTIA · 16 mapsnearly even +3%Isurus · 14 maps
InfernoBESTIA ban
40%46%
BESTIA · 6 mapsedge Isurus +6%Isurus · 9 maps
NukeIsurus ban
60%46%
BESTIA · 6 mapsedge BESTIA +14%Isurus · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
67%54%
BESTIA · 5 mapsedge BESTIA +13%Isurus · 9 maps
AncientIsurus ban
56%50%
BESTIA · 5 mapsedge BESTIA +6%Isurus · 8 maps
CacheIsurus pick
50%67%
BESTIA · 4 mapsedge Isurus +17%Isurus · 2 maps
DefaultBESTIA ban
50%67%
BESTIA · 0 mapsedge Isurus +17%Isurus · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA remove Inferno
2. BanIsurus remove Nuke
3. PickBESTIA take Dust2
4. PickIsurus take Cache
5. BanIsurus remove Ancient
6. BanBESTIA remove Default
DeciderMirage (67% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct7:13
BESTIA 31%Isurus 69%
The model gave 69% on Isurus — the map was taken by Isurus.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
BESTIA 57%Isurus 43%
The model gave 57% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
BESTIA 64%Isurus 36%
The model gave 64% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA · 64%
Series resultBESTIA 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3