Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA#65 in the world · win 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MIBR Academy#134 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeMIBR Academy pick
50%59%
BESTIA · 4 mapsedge MIBR Academy +9%MIBR Academy · 13 maps
AncientMIBR Academy ban
50%40%
BESTIA · 2 mapsedge BESTIA +10%MIBR Academy · 11 maps
MirageBESTIA pick
71%64%
BESTIA · 3 mapsedge BESTIA +7%MIBR Academy · 10 maps
Dust2MIBR Academy ban
67%33%
BESTIA · 5 mapsedge BESTIA +34%MIBR Academy · 5 maps
Overpasspossible decider
40%38%
BESTIA · 1 mapnearly even +2%MIBR Academy · 4 maps
AnubisBESTIA ban
50%50%
BESTIA · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MIBR Academy · 4 maps
CacheBESTIA ban
40%67%
BESTIA · 1 mapedge MIBR Academy +27%MIBR Academy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA remove Anubis
2. BanMIBR Academy remove Dust2
3. PickBESTIA take Mirage
4. PickMIBR Academy take Nuke
5. BanMIBR Academy remove Ancient
6. BanBESTIA remove Cache
DeciderOverpass (40% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:8
BESTIA 23%MIBR Academy 77%
The model gave 77% on MIBR Academy — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
BESTIA 82%MIBR Academy 18%
The model gave 82% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA · 73%
Series resultBESTIA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2