PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
BET-M#83 in the world · win 2:1series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 2:1
FOKUS#40 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BET-M ban
38%46%
BET-M · 12 mapsedge FOKUS +8%FOKUS · 9 maps
Nukepossible decider
54%46%
BET-M · 9 mapsedge BET-M +8%FOKUS · 9 maps
AncientFOKUS pick
20%50%
BET-M · 6 mapsedge FOKUS +30%FOKUS · 8 maps
InfernoBET-M pick
57%50%
BET-M · 10 mapsedge BET-M +7%FOKUS · 4 maps
MirageFOKUS ban
50%50%
BET-M · 8 mapsnearly even +0%FOKUS · 4 maps
AnubisFOKUS ban
60%40%
BET-M · 6 mapsedge BET-M +20%FOKUS · 1 map
CacheBET-M ban
50%71%
BET-M · 0 mapsedge FOKUS +21%FOKUS · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBET-M remove Cache
2. BanFOKUS remove Anubis
3. PickBET-M take Inferno
4. PickFOKUS take Ancient
5. BanFOKUS remove Mirage
6. BanBET-M remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (54% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
BET-M 60%FOKUS 40%
The model gave 60% on BET-M — the map was taken by BET-M.
Ancientprediction correct10:13
BET-M 18%FOKUS 82%
The model gave 82% on FOKUS — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
BET-M 58%FOKUS 42%
The model gave 58% on BET-M — the map was taken by BET-M.
Model check result
Model favoriteFOKUS · 73%
Series resultBET-M 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3