CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
BET-M#62 in the world · win 2:1series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SPARTA#96 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
36%66%
BET-M · 7 mapsedge SPARTA +30%SPARTA · 34 maps
MirageBET-M pick
46%48%
BET-M · 9 mapsnearly even -2%SPARTA · 21 map
AncientBET-M ban
40%42%
BET-M · 6 mapsnearly even -2%SPARTA · 20 maps
NukeSPARTA ban
50%45%
BET-M · 8 mapsedge BET-M +5%SPARTA · 16 maps
InfernoSPARTA ban
27%53%
BET-M · 7 mapsedge SPARTA +26%SPARTA · 11 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%45%
BET-M · 0 mapsedge BET-M +5%SPARTA · 7 maps
OverpassBET-M ban
50%44%
BET-M · 0 mapsedge BET-M +6%SPARTA · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBET-M remove Ancient
2. BanSPARTA remove Nuke
3. PickBET-M take Mirage
4. PickSPARTA take Dust2
5. BanSPARTA remove Inferno
6. BanBET-M remove Overpass
DeciderCache (50% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
BET-M 58%SPARTA 42%
The model gave 58% on BET-M — the map was taken by BET-M.
Dust2prediction correct4:13
BET-M 21%SPARTA 79%
The model gave 79% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
BET-M 48%SPARTA 52%
The model gave 52% on SPARTA — the map was taken by BET-M.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 67%
Series resultBET-M 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3