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CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
BET-M#65 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Walczaki#149 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeWalczaki pick
43%72%
BET-M · 3 mapsedge Walczaki +29%Walczaki · 14 maps
AncientBET-M ban
38%67%
BET-M · 4 mapsedge Walczaki +29%Walczaki · 8 maps
AnubisBET-M ban
50%75%
BET-M · 0 mapsedge Walczaki +25%Walczaki · 8 maps
MirageBET-M pick
57%67%
BET-M · 3 mapsedge Walczaki +10%Walczaki · 5 maps
Dust2Walczaki ban
50%63%
BET-M · 2 mapsedge Walczaki +13%Walczaki · 4 maps
InfernoWalczaki ban
50%50%
BET-M · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Walczaki · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%57%
BET-M · 0 mapsedge Walczaki +7%Walczaki · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBET-M remove Anubis
2. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
3. PickBET-M take Mirage
4. PickWalczaki take Nuke
5. BanWalczaki remove Inferno
6. BanBET-M remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed4:13
BET-M 53%Walczaki 47%
The model gave 53% on BET-M — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
BET-M 21%Walczaki 79%
The model gave 79% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 71%
Series resultWalczaki 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2