FISSURE Playground 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM#16 in the world · win 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BIG#24 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
67%64%
BETBOOM · 5 mapsnearly even +3%BIG · 10 maps
MirageBIG ban
56%33%
BETBOOM · 5 mapsedge BETBOOM +23%BIG · 8 maps
Dust2BETBOOM pick
56%50%
BETBOOM · 5 mapsedge BETBOOM +6%BIG · 4 maps
CacheBIG pick
40%64%
BETBOOM · 1 mapedge BIG +24%BIG · 7 maps
InfernoBETBOOM ban
50%50%
BETBOOM · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BIG · 8 maps
NukeBETBOOM ban
40%67%
BETBOOM · 6 mapsedge BIG +27%BIG · 2 maps
AnubisBIG ban
33%60%
BETBOOM · 2 mapsedge BIG +27%BIG · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBETBOOM remove Inferno
2. BanBIG remove Mirage
3. PickBETBOOM take Dust2
4. PickBIG take Cache
5. BanBIG remove Anubis
6. BanBETBOOM remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (67% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:8
BETBOOM 25%BIG 75%
The model gave 75% on BIG — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Nukeprediction missed13:9
BETBOOM 27%BIG 73%
The model gave 73% on BIG — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM · 67%
Series resultBETBOOM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2