IEM Cologne Major 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM#13 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FURIA#4 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBETBOOM pick
62%50%
BETBOOM · 9 mapsedge BETBOOM +12%FURIA · 6 maps
MirageBETBOOM ban
33%60%
BETBOOM · 5 mapsedge FURIA +27%FURIA · 6 maps
Dust2possible decider
73%29%
BETBOOM · 7 mapsedge BETBOOM +44%FURIA · 3 maps
InfernoBETBOOM ban
50%67%
BETBOOM · 0 mapsedge FURIA +17%FURIA · 5 maps
OverpassFURIA pick
40%63%
BETBOOM · 1 mapedge FURIA +23%FURIA · 4 maps
AncientFURIA ban
63%50%
BETBOOM · 4 mapsedge BETBOOM +13%FURIA · 0 maps
AnubisFURIA ban
67%50%
BETBOOM · 2 mapsedge BETBOOM +17%FURIA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBETBOOM remove Inferno
2. BanFURIA remove Ancient
3. PickBETBOOM take Nuke
4. PickFURIA take Overpass
5. BanFURIA remove Anubis
6. BanBETBOOM remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (73% / 29%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct6:13
BETBOOM 26%FURIA 74%
The model gave 74% on FURIA — the map was taken by FURIA.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
BETBOOM 88%FURIA 12%
The model gave 88% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by FURIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteFURIA · 73%
Series resultFURIA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2