FISSURE Playground 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM#16 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
G2#7 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
67%53%
BETBOOM · 5 mapsedge BETBOOM +14%G2 · 11 maps
MirageBETBOOM ban
63%69%
BETBOOM · 4 mapsedge G2 +6%G2 · 9 maps
Dust2BETBOOM pick
57%38%
BETBOOM · 3 mapsedge BETBOOM +19%G2 · 9 maps
AnubisG2 ban
50%40%
BETBOOM · 4 mapsedge BETBOOM +10%G2 · 6 maps
InfernoBETBOOM ban
50%71%
BETBOOM · 0 mapsedge G2 +21%G2 · 10 maps
NukeG2 ban
40%50%
BETBOOM · 6 mapsedge G2 +10%G2 · 0 maps
OverpassG2 pick
33%63%
BETBOOM · 2 mapsedge G2 +30%G2 · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBETBOOM remove Inferno
2. BanG2 remove Nuke
3. PickBETBOOM take Dust2
4. PickG2 take Overpass
5. BanG2 remove Anubis
6. BanBETBOOM remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (67% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
BETBOOM 40%G2 60%
The model gave 60% on G2 — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Anubisprediction missed13:16
BETBOOM 63%G2 37%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by G2.
Ancientprediction missed7:13
BETBOOM 64%G2 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by G2.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 · 52%
Series resultG2 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3