IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BetBoom#22 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Natus Vincere#2 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Anubispossible decider
67%60%
BetBoom · 2 mapsedge BetBoom +7%Natus Vincere · 1 map
Dust2BetBoom pick
60%33%
BetBoom · 1 mapedge BetBoom +27%Natus Vincere · 2 maps
InfernoBetBoom ban
50%57%
BetBoom · 0 mapsedge Natus Vincere +7%Natus Vincere · 3 maps
AncientNatus Vincere pick
50%50%
BetBoom · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Natus Vincere · 2 maps
NukeNatus Vincere ban
50%50%
BetBoom · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Natus Vincere · 0 maps
MirageBetBoom ban
50%60%
BetBoom · 0 mapsedge Natus Vincere +10%Natus Vincere · 1 map
OverpassNatus Vincere ban
40%50%
BetBoom · 1 mapedge Natus Vincere +10%Natus Vincere · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetBoom remove Inferno
2. BanNatus Vincere remove Overpass
3. PickBetBoom take Dust2
4. PickNatus Vincere take Ancient
5. BanNatus Vincere remove Nuke
6. BanBetBoom remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (67% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct8:13
BetBoom 47%Natus Vincere 53%
The model gave 53% on Natus Vincere — the map was taken by Natus Vincere.
Nukeprediction missed6:13
BetBoom 53%Natus Vincere 47%
The model gave 53% on BetBoom — the map was taken by Natus Vincere.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere · 87%
Series resultNatus Vincere 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2