NODWIN Clutch Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#65 in the world · win 2:1series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:1
AM#57 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBetclic pick
36%56%
Betclic · 10 mapsedge AM +20%AM · 12 maps
MirageAM pick
33%53%
Betclic · 5 mapsedge AM +20%AM · 11 maps
AncientAM ban
38%33%
Betclic · 4 mapsedge Betclic +5%AM · 8 maps
Dust2possible decider
38%25%
Betclic · 4 mapsedge Betclic +13%AM · 8 maps
OverpassBetclic ban
43%73%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge AM +30%AM · 7 maps
AnubisAM ban
77%50%
Betclic · 9 mapsedge Betclic +27%AM · 0 maps
InfernoBetclic ban
29%60%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge AM +31%AM · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Overpass
2. BanAM remove Anubis
3. PickBetclic take Nuke
4. PickAM take Mirage
5. BanAM remove Ancient
6. BanBetclic remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (38% / 25%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct11:13
Betclic 20%AM 80%
The model gave 80% on AM — the map was taken by AM.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
Betclic 33%AM 67%
The model gave 67% on AM — the map was taken by Betclic.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
Betclic 30%AM 70%
The model gave 70% on AM — the map was taken by Betclic.
Model check result
Model favoriteAM · 62%
Series resultBetclic 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3