NODWIN Clutch Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#65 in the world · win 2:0series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ASTRAL#97 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientASTRAL pick
29%61%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge ASTRAL +32%ASTRAL · 19 maps
Dust2ASTRAL ban
50%50%
Betclic · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ASTRAL · 12 maps
MirageBetclic ban
25%50%
Betclic · 4 mapsedge ASTRAL +25%ASTRAL · 10 maps
NukeASTRAL ban
36%36%
Betclic · 7 mapsnearly even +0%ASTRAL · 7 maps
AnubisBetclic pick
82%67%
Betclic · 7 mapsedge Betclic +15%ASTRAL · 5 maps
InfernoBetclic ban
29%38%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge ASTRAL +9%ASTRAL · 9 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Betclic · 1 mapnearly even +0%ASTRAL · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Inferno
2. BanASTRAL remove Nuke
3. PickBetclic take Anubis
4. PickASTRAL take Ancient
5. BanASTRAL remove Dust2
6. BanBetclic remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed16:14
Betclic 19%ASTRAL 81%
The model gave 81% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by Betclic.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
Betclic 53%ASTRAL 47%
The model gave 53% on Betclic — the map was taken by Betclic.
Model check result
Model favoriteASTRAL · 56%
Series resultBetclic 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2