1win Private Club Season 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#65 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PRIVATE#66 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisPRIVATE ban
43%40%
Betclic · 10 mapsnearly even +3%PRIVATE · 1 map
AncientPRIVATE pick
55%71%
Betclic · 7 mapsedge PRIVATE +16%PRIVATE · 3 maps
CacheBetclic ban
55%40%
Betclic · 7 mapsedge Betclic +15%PRIVATE · 1 map
NukeBetclic pick
64%40%
Betclic · 7 mapsedge Betclic +24%PRIVATE · 1 map
MirageBetclic ban
56%67%
Betclic · 5 mapsedge PRIVATE +11%PRIVATE · 2 maps
Dust2PRIVATE ban
67%40%
Betclic · 2 mapsedge Betclic +27%PRIVATE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Mirage
2. BanPRIVATE remove Anubis
3. PickBetclic take Nuke
4. PickPRIVATE take Ancient
5. BanPRIVATE remove Dust2
6. BanBetclic remove Cache
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct11:13
Betclic 36%PRIVATE 64%
The model gave 64% on PRIVATE — the map was taken by PRIVATE.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
Betclic 75%PRIVATE 25%
The model gave 75% on Betclic — the map was taken by PRIVATE.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetclic · 56%
Series resultPRIVATE 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2