Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#65 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Sashi#94 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
45%50%
Betclic · 18 mapsedge Sashi +5%Sashi · 12 maps
Dust2Betclic ban
46%37%
Betclic · 9 mapsedge Betclic +9%Sashi · 15 maps
AnubisBetclic pick
68%63%
Betclic · 15 mapsedge Betclic +5%Sashi · 4 maps
AncientSashi ban
64%50%
Betclic · 7 mapsedge Betclic +14%Sashi · 6 maps
CacheSashi pick
56%67%
Betclic · 5 mapsedge Sashi +11%Sashi · 8 maps
MirageSashi ban
54%40%
Betclic · 9 mapsedge Betclic +14%Sashi · 1 map
OverpassBetclic ban
30%67%
Betclic · 6 mapsedge Sashi +37%Sashi · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Overpass
2. BanSashi remove Mirage
3. PickBetclic take Anubis
4. PickSashi take Cache
5. BanSashi remove Ancient
6. BanBetclic remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (45% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct8:13
Betclic 42%Sashi 58%
The model gave 58% on Sashi — the map was taken by Sashi.
Anubisprediction missed12:16
Betclic 59%Sashi 41%
The model gave 59% on Betclic — the map was taken by Sashi.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetclic · 52%
Series resultSashi 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2