ANZC Locals Brisbane 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ground Zero#139 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Ground Zero pick
50%40%
BGNS Orange · 0 mapsedge BGNS Orange +10%Ground Zero · 16 maps
NukeBGNS Orange ban
33%75%
BGNS Orange · 2 mapsedge Ground Zero +42%Ground Zero · 12 maps
InfernoBGNS Orange pick
50%64%
BGNS Orange · 2 mapsedge Ground Zero +14%Ground Zero · 10 maps
AnubisBGNS Orange ban
50%50%
BGNS Orange · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Ground Zero · 10 maps
AncientGround Zero ban
60%50%
BGNS Orange · 1 mapedge BGNS Orange +10%Ground Zero · 4 maps
MirageGround Zero ban
40%50%
BGNS Orange · 1 mapedge Ground Zero +10%Ground Zero · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
BGNS Orange · 1 mapnearly even +0%Ground Zero · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBGNS Orange remove Nuke
2. BanGround Zero remove Ancient
3. PickBGNS Orange take Inferno
4. PickGround Zero take Dust2
5. BanGround Zero remove Mirage
6. BanBGNS Orange remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed5:13
BGNS Orange 57%Ground Zero 43%
The model gave 57% on BGNS Orange — the map was taken by Ground Zero.
Infernoprediction correct0:13
BGNS Orange 39%Ground Zero 61%
The model gave 61% on Ground Zero — the map was taken by Ground Zero.
Model check result
Model favoriteGround Zero · 62%
Series resultGround Zero 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2