CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
BIG Academy#215 in the world · win 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DONSTU#221 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2DONSTU ban
60%35%
BIG Academy · 11 mapsedge BIG Academy +25%DONSTU · 13 maps
AnubisDONSTU pick
57%52%
BIG Academy · 3 mapsedge BIG Academy +5%DONSTU · 17 maps
AncientBIG Academy pick
73%42%
BIG Academy · 7 mapsedge BIG Academy +31%DONSTU · 8 maps
InfernoDONSTU ban
56%43%
BIG Academy · 5 mapsedge BIG Academy +13%DONSTU · 10 maps
Overpasspossible decider
69%60%
BIG Academy · 9 mapsedge BIG Academy +9%DONSTU · 1 map
CacheBIG Academy ban
50%75%
BIG Academy · 0 mapsedge DONSTU +25%DONSTU · 4 maps
DefaultBIG Academy ban
33%60%
BIG Academy · 2 mapsedge DONSTU +27%DONSTU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBIG Academy remove Cache
2. BanDONSTU remove Dust2
3. PickBIG Academy take Ancient
4. PickDONSTU take Anubis
5. BanDONSTU remove Inferno
6. BanBIG Academy remove Default
DeciderOverpass (69% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
BIG Academy 81%DONSTU 19%
The model gave 81% on BIG Academy — the map was taken by BIG Academy.
Cacheprediction missed13:5
BIG Academy 23%DONSTU 77%
The model gave 77% on DONSTU — the map was taken by BIG Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteBIG Academy · 53%
Series resultBIG Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2