XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
BIG#27 in the world · loss 2:13series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:13
MIBR#12 in the world · win 13:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
45%56%
BIG · 7 mapsedge MIBR +11%MIBR · 5 maps
AncientMIBR ban
56%44%
BIG · 5 mapsedge BIG +12%MIBR · 5 maps
InfernoBIG ban
57%38%
BIG · 3 mapsedge BIG +19%MIBR · 4 maps
NukeBIG ban
43%57%
BIG · 3 mapsedge MIBR +14%MIBR · 3 maps
OverpassMIBR ban
38%40%
BIG · 4 mapsnearly even -2%MIBR · 1 map
AnubisBIG ban
40%67%
BIG · 1 mapedge MIBR +27%MIBR · 2 maps
Dust2MIBR ban
50%50%
BIG · 2 mapsnearly even +0%MIBR · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBIG remove Anubis
2. BanMIBR remove Dust2
3. BanBIG remove Nuke
4. BanMIBR remove Overpass
5. BanBIG remove Inferno
6. BanMIBR remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (45% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct2:13
BIG 40%MIBR 60%
The model gave 60% on MIBR — the map was taken by MIBR.
Model check result
Model favoriteBIG · 55%
Series resultMIBR 2:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1