CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
6666#80 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
63%60%
Black Phoenix · 58 mapsnearly even +3%6666 · 6 maps
Anubis6666 pick
36%63%
Black Phoenix · 24 mapsedge 6666 +27%6666 · 12 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
50%70%
Black Phoenix · 28 mapsedge 6666 +20%6666 · 6 maps
Inferno6666 ban
67%15%
Black Phoenix · 20 mapsedge Black Phoenix +52%6666 · 9 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%57%
Black Phoenix · 26 mapsedge 6666 +7%6666 · 3 maps
Cache6666 ban
46%50%
Black Phoenix · 20 mapsnearly even -4%6666 · 0 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
33%62%
Black Phoenix · 2 mapsedge 6666 +29%6666 · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
2. Ban6666 remove Cache
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. Pick6666 take Anubis
5. Ban6666 remove Inferno
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
Black Phoenix 56%6666 44%
The model gave 56% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Anubisprediction missed13:8
Black Phoenix 23%6666 77%
The model gave 77% on 6666 — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favorite6666 · 54%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2