CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
51%63%
Black Phoenix · 35 mapsedge Lavked +12%Lavked · 15 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
44%36%
Black Phoenix · 21 mapedge Black Phoenix +8%Lavked · 18 maps
Nukepossible decider
55%50%
Black Phoenix · 18 mapsedge Black Phoenix +5%Lavked · 14 maps
AnubisLavked pick
21%55%
Black Phoenix · 15 mapsedge Lavked +34%Lavked · 7 maps
InfernoLavked ban
59%40%
Black Phoenix · 13 mapsedge Black Phoenix +19%Lavked · 6 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
40%37%
Black Phoenix · 1 mapnearly even +3%Lavked · 15 maps
CacheLavked ban
67%40%
Black Phoenix · 11 mapsedge Black Phoenix +27%Lavked · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
2. BanLavked remove Cache
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. PickLavked take Anubis
5. BanLavked remove Inferno
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (55% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:3
Black Phoenix 16%Lavked 84%
The model gave 84% on Lavked — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
Black Phoenix 41%Lavked 59%
The model gave 59% on Lavked — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 54%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2