CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PCIFIC#135 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
62%59%
Black Phoenix · 54 mapsnearly even +3%PCIFIC · 23 maps
NukePCIFIC ban
48%43%
Black Phoenix · 23 mapsedge Black Phoenix +5%PCIFIC · 17 maps
MiragePCIFIC ban
47%50%
Black Phoenix · 26 mapsnearly even -3%PCIFIC · 8 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
31%27%
Black Phoenix · 22 mapsnearly even +4%PCIFIC · 11 maps
Infernopossible decider
65%46%
Black Phoenix · 19 mapsedge Black Phoenix +19%PCIFIC · 9 maps
CachePCIFIC pick
46%64%
Black Phoenix · 20 mapsedge PCIFIC +18%PCIFIC · 7 maps
DefaultBlack Phoenix ban
55%40%
Black Phoenix · 7 mapsedge Black Phoenix +15%PCIFIC · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
2. BanPCIFIC remove Mirage
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. PickPCIFIC take Cache
5. BanPCIFIC remove Nuke
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Default
DeciderInferno (65% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
Black Phoenix 56%PCIFIC 44%
The model gave 56% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
Black Phoenix 52%PCIFIC 48%
The model gave 52% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 66%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2