Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
BMZ#121 in the world · win 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
WYDOloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBMZ pick
50%50%
BMZ · 2 mapsnearly even +0%WYDO · 0 maps
Dust2WYDO ban
50%50%
BMZ · 2 mapsnearly even +0%WYDO · 0 maps
MirageBMZ ban
50%50%
BMZ · 2 mapsnearly even +0%WYDO · 0 maps
DefaultWYDO pick
40%50%
BMZ · 1 mapedge WYDO +10%WYDO · 0 maps
InfernoBMZ ban
50%40%
BMZ · 0 mapsedge BMZ +10%WYDO · 1 map
NukeWYDO ban
40%50%
BMZ · 1 mapedge WYDO +10%WYDO · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBMZ remove Inferno
2. BanWYDO remove Nuke
3. PickBMZ take Ancient
4. PickWYDO take Default
5. BanWYDO remove Dust2
6. BanBMZ remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
BMZ 47%WYDO 53%
The model gave 53% on WYDO — the map was taken by BMZ.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
BMZ 53%WYDO 47%
The model gave 53% on BMZ — the map was taken by BMZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteBMZ · 65%
Series resultBMZ 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2