CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ALKA#129 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBORRACHEIROS pick
54%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 9 mapsnearly even +4%ALKA · 14 maps
Dust2ALKA pick
56%60%
BORRACHEIROS · 5 mapsnearly even -4%ALKA · 16 maps
MirageALKA ban
50%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 8 mapsnearly even +0%ALKA · 8 maps
Infernopossible decider
36%67%
BORRACHEIROS · 7 mapsedge ALKA +31%ALKA · 8 maps
NukeBORRACHEIROS ban
25%55%
BORRACHEIROS · 4 mapsedge ALKA +30%ALKA · 7 maps
CacheBORRACHEIROS ban
50%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ALKA · 6 maps
DefaultALKA ban
71%33%
BORRACHEIROS · 3 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +38%ALKA · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Cache
2. BanALKA remove Mirage
3. PickBORRACHEIROS take Ancient
4. PickALKA take Dust2
5. BanALKA remove Default
6. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (36% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed9:13
BORRACHEIROS 53%ALKA 47%
The model gave 53% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by ALKA.
Dust2prediction correct4:13
BORRACHEIROS 42%ALKA 58%
The model gave 58% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Model check result
Model favoriteALKA · 72%
Series resultALKA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2