CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBORRACHEIROS ban
46%40%
BORRACHEIROS · 9 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +6%Mansão Maromba · 1 map
AncientBORRACHEIROS pick
54%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 9 mapsnearly even +4%Mansão Maromba · 0 maps
InfernoMansão Maromba ban
36%40%
BORRACHEIROS · 7 mapsnearly even -4%Mansão Maromba · 1 map
Dust2Mansão Maromba pick
50%60%
BORRACHEIROS · 6 mapsedge Mansão Maromba +10%Mansão Maromba · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
71%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 3 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +21%Mansão Maromba · 2 maps
AnubisMansão Maromba ban
50%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Mansão Maromba · 0 maps
NukeBORRACHEIROS ban
25%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 4 mapsedge Mansão Maromba +25%Mansão Maromba · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Nuke
2. BanMansão Maromba remove Anubis
3. PickBORRACHEIROS take Ancient
4. PickMansão Maromba take Dust2
5. BanMansão Maromba remove Inferno
6. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (71% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
BORRACHEIROS 71%Mansão Maromba 29%
The model gave 71% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBORRACHEIROS · 58%
Series resultBORRACHEIROS 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1