CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Galorys#68 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGalorys pick
27%79%
Bounty Hunters · 7 mapsedge Galorys +52%Galorys · 10 maps
Dust2Galorys ban
45%46%
Bounty Hunters · 7 mapsnearly even -1%Galorys · 9 maps
CacheBounty Hunters pick
56%50%
Bounty Hunters · 12 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +6%Galorys · 2 maps
Nukepossible decider
64%75%
Bounty Hunters · 10 mapsedge Galorys +11%Galorys · 4 maps
MirageGalorys ban
47%50%
Bounty Hunters · 13 mapsnearly even -3%Galorys · 0 maps
AnubisBounty Hunters ban
57%55%
Bounty Hunters · 3 mapsnearly even +2%Galorys · 7 maps
InfernoBounty Hunters ban
50%43%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +7%Galorys · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Inferno
2. BanGalorys remove Mirage
3. PickBounty Hunters take Cache
4. PickGalorys take Ancient
5. BanGalorys remove Dust2
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (64% / 75%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct2:13
Bounty Hunters 40%Galorys 60%
The model gave 60% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Ancientprediction correct4:13
Bounty Hunters 8%Galorys 92%
The model gave 92% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 61%
Series resultGalorys 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2