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FERJEE In House Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Galorys#68 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGalorys pick
35%83%
Bounty Hunters · 13 mapsedge Galorys +48%Galorys · 20 maps
CacheBounty Hunters pick
56%55%
Bounty Hunters · 21 mapnearly even +1%Galorys · 7 maps
Dust2Bounty Hunters ban
43%55%
Bounty Hunters · 10 mapsedge Galorys +12%Galorys · 16 maps
Nukepossible decider
55%64%
Bounty Hunters · 16 mapsedge Galorys +9%Galorys · 7 maps
MirageGalorys ban
50%50%
Bounty Hunters · 22 mapsnearly even +0%Galorys · 0 maps
AnubisGalorys ban
58%46%
Bounty Hunters · 8 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +12%Galorys · 9 maps
InfernoBounty Hunters ban
50%33%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +17%Galorys · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Inferno
2. BanGalorys remove Mirage
3. PickBounty Hunters take Cache
4. PickGalorys take Ancient
5. BanGalorys remove Anubis
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (55% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:7
Bounty Hunters 54%Galorys 46%
The model gave 54% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Ancientprediction correct8:13
Bounty Hunters 9%Galorys 91%
The model gave 91% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Nukeprediction correct8:13
Bounty Hunters 41%Galorys 59%
The model gave 59% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 57%
Series resultGalorys 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3