PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Open Qualifier 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#109 in the world · win 2:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
47%50%
Bounty Hunters · 11 mapsnearly even -3%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 2 maps
CacheBounty Hunters pick
54%71%
Bounty Hunters · 9 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +17%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 3 maps
NukeQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
62%50%
Bounty Hunters · 9 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +12%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 maps
AncientBounty Hunters ban
27%40%
Bounty Hunters · 7 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +13%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
Dust2QUINTESSÊNCIA pick
43%67%
Bounty Hunters · 3 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +24%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 2 maps
AnubisQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
57%40%
Bounty Hunters · 3 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +17%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
InfernoBounty Hunters ban
50%60%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +10%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Inferno
2. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Nuke
3. PickBounty Hunters take Cache
4. PickQUINTESSÊNCIA take Dust2
5. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Anubis
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (47% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:6
Bounty Hunters 34%QUINTESSÊNCIA 66%
The model gave 66% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Dust2prediction correct2:13
Bounty Hunters 25%QUINTESSÊNCIA 75%
The model gave 75% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
Bounty Hunters 47%QUINTESSÊNCIA 53%
The model gave 53% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 58%
Series resultBounty Hunters 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3