BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · win 2:1series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:1
VEXA#257 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2VEXA ban
57%50%
Bounty Hunters · 10 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +7%VEXA · 2 maps
AncientBounty Hunters pick
58%60%
Bounty Hunters · 8 mapsnearly even -2%VEXA · 1 map
MirageVEXA pick
55%60%
Bounty Hunters · 7 mapsedge VEXA +5%VEXA · 1 map
NukeVEXA ban
82%50%
Bounty Hunters · 7 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +32%VEXA · 0 maps
AnubisBounty Hunters ban
43%60%
Bounty Hunters · 3 mapsedge VEXA +17%VEXA · 1 map
OverpassBounty Hunters ban
40%50%
Bounty Hunters · 1 mapedge VEXA +10%VEXA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Overpass
2. BanVEXA remove Nuke
3. PickBounty Hunters take Ancient
4. PickVEXA take Mirage
5. BanVEXA remove Dust2
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:2
Bounty Hunters 47%VEXA 53%
The model gave 53% on VEXA — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Anubisprediction correct9:13
Bounty Hunters 31%VEXA 69%
The model gave 69% on VEXA — the map was taken by VEXA.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
Bounty Hunters 48%VEXA 52%
The model gave 52% on VEXA — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 77%
Series resultBounty Hunters 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3