CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
brazylijski luz#146 in the world · win 2:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
67%57%
brazylijski luz · 5 mapsedge brazylijski luz +10%ex-Zero Tenacity · 19 maps
Nukebrazylijski luz pick
55%57%
brazylijski luz · 7 mapsnearly even -2%ex-Zero Tenacity · 17 maps
Miragepossible decider
45%46%
brazylijski luz · 7 mapsnearly even -1%ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
44%50%
brazylijski luz · 14 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +6%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
Infernobrazylijski luz ban
40%43%
brazylijski luz · 1 mapnearly even -3%ex-Zero Tenacity · 10 maps
Anubisbrazylijski luz ban
57%36%
brazylijski luz · 3 mapsedge brazylijski luz +21%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Overpassex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%36%
brazylijski luz · 2 mapsedge brazylijski luz +14%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banbrazylijski luz remove Inferno
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. Pickbrazylijski luz take Nuke
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Overpass
6. Banbrazylijski luz remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (45% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
brazylijski luz 58%ex-Zero Tenacity 42%
The model gave 58% on brazylijski luz — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
brazylijski luz 52%ex-Zero Tenacity 48%
The model gave 52% on brazylijski luz — the map was taken by brazylijski luz.
Nukeprediction missed13:6
brazylijski luz 47%ex-Zero Tenacity 53%
The model gave 53% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by brazylijski luz.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 51%
Series resultbrazylijski luz 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3