PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
1win#38 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BRUTE pick
58%61%
BRUTE · 15 mapsnearly even -3%1win · 19 maps
AnubisBRUTE ban
45%40%
BRUTE · 7 mapsedge BRUTE +5%1win · 11 maps
AncientBRUTE ban
50%60%
BRUTE · 0 mapsedge 1win +10%1win · 16 maps
Miragepossible decider
56%53%
BRUTE · 5 mapsnearly even +3%1win · 11 maps
Cache1win pick
36%58%
BRUTE · 7 mapsedge 1win +22%1win · 8 maps
Nuke1win ban
58%50%
BRUTE · 8 mapsedge BRUTE +8%1win · 0 maps
Inferno1win ban
67%63%
BRUTE · 2 mapsnearly even +4%1win · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBRUTE remove Ancient
2. Ban1win remove Nuke
3. PickBRUTE take Dust2
4. Pick1win take Cache
5. Ban1win remove Inferno
6. BanBRUTE remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (56% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
BRUTE 58%1win 42%
The model gave 58% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Dust2prediction missed25:22
BRUTE 44%1win 56%
The model gave 56% on 1win — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Model check result
Model favorite1win · 62%
Series resultBRUTE 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2