CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
BRUTE#171 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FFamalicão#195 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Famalicão pick
60%60%
BRUTE · 1 mapnearly even +0%Famalicão · 1 map
AncientBRUTE ban
50%60%
BRUTE · 0 mapsedge Famalicão +10%Famalicão · 1 map
InfernoBRUTE pick
40%50%
BRUTE · 1 mapedge Famalicão +10%Famalicão · 0 maps
MirageFamalicão ban
60%50%
BRUTE · 1 mapedge BRUTE +10%Famalicão · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBRUTE remove Ancient
2. BanFamalicão remove Mirage
3. PickBRUTE take Inferno
4. PickFamalicão take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:7
BRUTE 37%Famalicão 63%
The model gave 63% on Famalicão — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Overpassprediction correct13:3
BRUTE 53%Famalicão 47%
The model gave 53% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Model check result
Model favoriteFamalicão · 50%
Series resultBRUTE 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2