European Pro League Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
73%41%
Bushido Wildcats · 45 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +32%Leo · 25 maps
NukeLeo pick
52%85%
Bushido Wildcats · 29 mapsedge Leo +33%Leo · 23 maps
MirageLeo ban
55%36%
Bushido Wildcats · 34 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +19%Leo · 10 maps
Cachepossible decider
59%47%
Bushido Wildcats · 18 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +12%Leo · 13 maps
AnubisBushido Wildcats ban
50%38%
Bushido Wildcats · 12 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +12%Leo · 9 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
40%45%
Bushido Wildcats · 1 mapedge Leo +5%Leo · 18 maps
InfernoLeo ban
44%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 12 mapsedge Leo +6%Leo · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
2. BanLeo remove Inferno
3. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
4. PickLeo take Nuke
5. BanLeo remove Mirage
6. BanBushido Wildcats remove Anubis
DeciderCache (59% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct14:16
Bushido Wildcats 14%Leo 86%
The model gave 86% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Dust2prediction missed5:13
Bushido Wildcats 82%Leo 18%
The model gave 82% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 53%
Series resultLeo 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2