European Pro League Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · win 1:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 1:0
NAVI Junior#127 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
77%39%
Bushido Wildcats · 40 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +38%NAVI Junior · 14 maps
MirageNAVI Junior pick
57%74%
Bushido Wildcats · 31 mapedge NAVI Junior +17%NAVI Junior · 15 maps
Nukepossible decider
52%38%
Bushido Wildcats · 27 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +14%NAVI Junior · 9 maps
AnubisBushido Wildcats ban
50%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 12 mapsnearly even +0%NAVI Junior · 8 maps
CacheNAVI Junior ban
56%33%
Bushido Wildcats · 14 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +23%NAVI Junior · 2 maps
InfernoNAVI Junior ban
36%33%
Bushido Wildcats · 10 mapsnearly even +3%NAVI Junior · 2 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
40%36%
Bushido Wildcats · 1 mapnearly even +4%NAVI Junior · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
2. BanNAVI Junior remove Cache
3. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
4. PickNAVI Junior take Mirage
5. BanNAVI Junior remove Inferno
6. BanBushido Wildcats remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (52% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Bushido Wildcats 50%NAVI Junior 50%
The model gave 50% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 65%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1