CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Butterfly#127 in the world · win 2:1series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BET-M#65 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeButterfly pick
58%57%
Butterfly · 8 mapsnearly even +1%BET-M · 10 maps
Miragepossible decider
64%50%
Butterfly · 7 mapsedge Butterfly +14%BET-M · 10 maps
Dust2BET-M ban
73%33%
Butterfly · 7 mapsedge Butterfly +40%BET-M · 8 maps
AncientBET-M ban
80%40%
Butterfly · 6 mapsedge Butterfly +40%BET-M · 6 maps
InfernoButterfly ban
22%27%
Butterfly · 5 mapsedge BET-M +5%BET-M · 7 maps
AnubisButterfly ban
40%67%
Butterfly · 1 mapedge BET-M +27%BET-M · 2 maps
DefaultBET-M pick
57%50%
Butterfly · 3 mapsedge Butterfly +7%BET-M · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanButterfly remove Anubis
2. BanBET-M remove Ancient
3. PickButterfly take Nuke
4. PickBET-M take Default
5. BanBET-M remove Dust2
6. BanButterfly remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (64% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
Butterfly 40%BET-M 60%
The model gave 60% on BET-M — the map was taken by BET-M.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
Butterfly 87%BET-M 13%
The model gave 87% on Butterfly — the map was taken by Butterfly.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
Butterfly 51%BET-M 49%
The model gave 51% on Butterfly — the map was taken by Butterfly.
Model check result
Model favoriteButterfly · 61%
Series resultButterfly 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3