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CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Butterfly#127 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2CYBERSHOKE pick
73%54%
Butterfly · 7 mapsedge Butterfly +19%CYBERSHOKE · 20 maps
AncientButterfly pick
82%62%
Butterfly · 7 mapsedge Butterfly +20%CYBERSHOKE · 17 maps
MirageButterfly ban
64%63%
Butterfly · 7 mapsnearly even +1%CYBERSHOKE · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
62%46%
Butterfly · 9 mapsedge Butterfly +16%CYBERSHOKE · 9 maps
OverpassCYBERSHOKE ban
50%50%
Butterfly · 0 mapsnearly even +0%CYBERSHOKE · 8 maps
InfernoCYBERSHOKE ban
20%50%
Butterfly · 6 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +30%CYBERSHOKE · 0 maps
AnubisButterfly ban
40%38%
Butterfly · 1 mapnearly even +2%CYBERSHOKE · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanButterfly remove Anubis
2. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Inferno
3. PickButterfly take Ancient
4. PickCYBERSHOKE take Dust2
5. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Overpass
6. BanButterfly remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (62% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:3
Butterfly 48%CYBERSHOKE 52%
The model gave 52% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by Butterfly.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
Butterfly 76%CYBERSHOKE 24%
The model gave 76% on Butterfly — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
Butterfly 69%CYBERSHOKE 31%
The model gave 69% on Butterfly — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBERSHOKE · 54%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3