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Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Change The Game#122 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Last Bullet#210 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Last Bullet pick
50%58%
Change The Game · 0 mapsedge Last Bullet +8%Last Bullet · 8 maps
AncientChange The Game pick
60%50%
Change The Game · 1 mapedge Change The Game +10%Last Bullet · 4 maps
Miragepossible decider
40%57%
Change The Game · 1 mapedge Last Bullet +17%Last Bullet · 3 maps
NukeLast Bullet ban
50%50%
Change The Game · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Last Bullet · 2 maps
DefaultChange The Game ban
50%60%
Change The Game · 0 mapsedge Last Bullet +10%Last Bullet · 1 map
InfernoLast Bullet ban
40%50%
Change The Game · 1 mapedge Last Bullet +10%Last Bullet · 0 maps
OverpassChange The Game ban
50%60%
Change The Game · 0 mapsedge Last Bullet +10%Last Bullet · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanChange The Game remove Overpass
2. BanLast Bullet remove Inferno
3. PickChange The Game take Ancient
4. PickLast Bullet take Dust2
5. BanLast Bullet remove Nuke
6. BanChange The Game remove Default
DeciderMirage (40% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
Change The Game 63%Last Bullet 37%
The model gave 63% on Change The Game — the map was taken by Change The Game.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
Change The Game 39%Last Bullet 61%
The model gave 61% on Last Bullet — the map was taken by Last Bullet.
Infernoprediction missed16:13
Change The Game 40%Last Bullet 60%
The model gave 60% on Last Bullet — the map was taken by Change The Game.
Model check result
Model favoriteChange The Game · 50%
Series resultChange The Game 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3