BC Game Masters Championship Season 2 · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Inner Circle#28 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Default
40%50%
CHAOS · 1 mapedge Inner Circle +10%Inner Circle · 0 maps
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
CHAOS 40%Inner Circle 60%
The model gave 60% on Inner Circle — the map was taken by Inner Circle.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 85%
Series resultInner Circle 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1